Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 8.300273e-05 1.006263e-04 0.000120 0.000141 0.000166 0.000191 0.000221
2024-11-03 5.611747e-05 7.715300e-05 0.000102 0.000131 0.000166 0.000205 0.000251
2024-11-10 4.908701e-05 7.319601e-05 0.000102 0.000139 0.000184 0.000235 0.000297
2024-11-17 3.755043e-05 6.208273e-05 0.000093 0.000135 0.000187 0.000247 0.000323
2024-11-24 2.889769e-05 5.285878e-05 0.000085 0.000129 0.000186 0.000255 0.000341
2024-12-01 2.218769e-05 4.535762e-05 0.000078 0.000125 0.000187 0.000264 0.000362
2024-12-08 1.749036e-05 3.982434e-05 0.000073 0.000123 0.000189 0.000273 0.000382
2024-12-15 1.299360e-05 3.380317e-05 0.000067 0.000118 0.000188 0.000278 0.000397
2024-12-22 1.026608e-05 3.015000e-05 0.000064 0.000116 0.000191 0.000288 0.000418
2024-12-29 8.046147e-06 2.697225e-05 0.000061 0.000115 0.000195 0.000299 0.000440
2025-01-05 5.822813e-06 2.310522e-05 0.000056 0.000112 0.000194 0.000303 0.000453
2025-01-12 4.155795e-06 1.991452e-05 0.000052 0.000108 0.000194 0.000309 0.000468
2025-01-19 2.555636e-06 1.687739e-05 0.000050 0.000110 0.000204 0.000333 0.000515
2025-01-26 8.927996e-07 1.164628e-05 0.000041 0.000101 0.000199 0.000337 0.000535
2025-02-02 5.923207e-07 1.105335e-05 0.000043 0.000108 0.000216 0.000372 0.000596
2025-02-09 1.538035e-07 8.283405e-06 0.000038 0.000104 0.000218 0.000385 0.000628
2025-02-16 1.036727e-08 5.951967e-06 0.000034 0.000100 0.000217 0.000393 0.000653
2025-02-23 NaN 4.259797e-06 0.000030 0.000096 0.000218 0.000404 0.000683
2025-03-02 NaN 3.080185e-06 0.000027 0.000094 0.000221 0.000417 0.000714
2025-03-09 NaN 1.982708e-06 0.000024 0.000090 0.000220 0.000424 0.000738
2025-03-16 NaN 1.386534e-06 0.000022 0.000089 0.000224 0.000439 0.000773
2025-03-23 NaN 9.466180e-07 0.000020 0.000088 0.000228 0.000455 0.000809
2025-03-30 NaN 5.171754e-07 0.000018 0.000085 0.000227 0.000463 0.000833